As far as I understand the current situation, these are my predictions about it evolution after the elections of 17 June 2012:
Hypothesis 1. The next stable government is anti-memorandum
- The negotiations fail and the partners stop funding - exit from euro zone - the zone explodes
- The negotiations succeed - the dept is abandoned - funding continues with much better conditions
Hypothesis 2. The next government is pro-memorandum
- The debt continues to increase - the austerity and unemployment increase - violent revolution fails - military or civil government placed by EU
